Untimely industry monitoring

Yesterday, the CRTC released its annual industry monitoring report for the communications sector. Some of you may be thinking, “two months after year end is pretty good timing.” And it would be heroic timing if indeed the CRTC was reporting on 2023 industry data.

Unfortunately, the report was “Annual highlights of the telecommunications sector 2022” [also available as pdf, 910KB]. That’s right, 2022 data getting released 14 months after year-end.

Among the interesting data in the report is the official tally of Canadian telecommunications industry revenues: $57.2B. As noted by the CRTC, this means that foreign ownership restrictions (under Section 16 of the Telecom Act) only apply to carriers with telecommunications revenues exceeding 10% of that total (ie. $5.7B). In practice, this means Bell, Rogers and TELUS remain the only carriers that must be Canadian owned and controlled.

This was the 23rd edition of the CRTC’s communications industry monitoring reports. Back in the summer of 2000, Cabinet issued Order-in-Council 2000-1053:

Order requiring the CANADIAN RADIO-TELEVISION AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION to report to the Governor in Council, once a year for the next five years, on the status of competition in Canadian telecommunications markets and on the deployment and accessibility of advanced telecommunications infrastructure and services in urban and rural areas in all regions of Canada, and to submit its first report no later than September 28, 2001.

Telecommunications revenue share by sectorBeating the deadline by one day, on September 27, 2001, the CRTC issued its first annual Communications Monitoring Report [pdf, 8.9MB] covering data from the year 2000.

Following the first 5 years that were issued in response to the Cabinet directive, the CRTC continued publishing annual data. I started blogging in 2006 and I have included looks at the reports ever since.

Over time, the annual publication was revised to embed fewer tables, instead accompanying the text with a rich assortment of Open Data downloadable spreadsheets. The CRTC boasts over 400 datasets are available, many of them updated more frequently than once per year. A change log is maintained to help identify updates.

In 2021, the Commission rebranded the statistics as Communications Market Reports. The Market Reports are divided under 5 headings:

These online tables are more current than the annual summary, but there is much room for more timeliness. My records show that 2008 annual data was published in August 2009. The data for 2009 and 2010 were published in July of the subsequent year. Dates started to slide to September 2012 for 2011 data, then November 2017 for 2016 data. And now, the 2022 data took until the very end of February 2024, fourteen months after year-end.

Looking back over nearly a quarter-century of industry monitoring reports, isn’t it reasonable to have expected improvements in delivery over time? Sure, we have more detailed data and open access to some of the data, but collaboration tools should have enabled reporting speeds to improve dramatically.

Notably, as of last week, most public companies have already delivered official financial reports for year-end 2023.

Where do you go for timely telecommunications industry monitoring reports?

Taming technology authoritarianism

Is it time to tame “technology authoritarianism”?

Is that even possible?

Yesterday, the Canadian government introduced its long-promised Online Harms Act, with the promise of a focus on protecting children and youth from the “dangers of the internet”. I’ll have more on some of the specifics as the text of the legislation works its way through committee review.

From some of the earliest days of this blog, I have been writing about “Taming the wild west” of what I called the anarchy of the internet. At the time, I had a particular concern with the “fine balance between the right to free speech and the right of individuals not to be the objects of hate and violent speech”.

A recent article in The Atlantic caught my eye. In “The Rise of Technoauthoritarianism”, Adrienne LaFrance claims the technocrats of Silicon Valley are “leading an antidemocratic, illiberal movement” and government intervention is required.

She writes that she long believed that regulation was unnecessary, “in part because I was not (and am still not) convinced that the government can do so without itself causing harm… I’d much prefer to see market competition as a force for technological improvement and the betterment of society.”

in recent years, it has become clear that regulation is needed, not least because the rise of technocracy proves that Silicon Valley’s leaders simply will not act in the public’s best interest. Much should be done to protect children from the hazards of social media, and to break up monopolies and oligopolies that damage society, and more. At the same time, I believe that regulation alone will not be enough to meaningfully address the cultural rot that the new technocrats are spreading.

Why the epipheny? Why can’t market forces provide sufficient discipline? LaFrance reminds us that Silicon Valley “attracts many immensely talented people” (including half of my kids), working to do good.

Even the most deleterious companies have built some wonderful tools. But these tools, at scale, are also systems of manipulation and control. They promise community but sow division; claim to champion truth but spread lies; wrap themselves in concepts such as empowerment and liberty but surveil us relentlessly.

Read the full article.

I don’t agree with every claim made by LaFrance, but it is a well written, thought provoking piece. “Many Americans fret — rightfully — about the rising authoritarianism among MAGA Republicans, but they risk ignoring another ascendant force for illiberalism: the tantrum-prone and immensely powerful kings of tech.

Two weeks ago, US Congress summoned the CEOs of leading technology firms to discuss “Big Tech and the Online Child Sexual Exploitation Crisis.” Pressured under questioning, at one point Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg apologized to victims. “No one should have to go through the things that your families have suffered.”

Although Canada has not yet introduced its long-promised Online Harms legislation, it has passed two of the bills promised under its Digital Charter:

  • C-11: “The Online Streaming Act modernizes the Broadcasting Act and helps ensure Canadian stories and music are widely available on streaming platforms to the benefit of future generations of artists and creators in Canada.”
  • C-18: “The Online News Act aims to ensure that dominant platforms compensate news businesses when their content is made available on their services.”

But, as I asked last Fall, are we “Losing sight of the target”.

And, if indeed it is time to tame “technology authoritarianism”, how do we tame them?

Regulatory use of jargon and terminology

To what extent has the regulatory world been influenced by our choice of jargon and terminology?

Our choice of words, our use of language is often geared toward influencing opinion. But to what extent have we seen regulators influenced by terminology that is non-neutral or even pejorative?

I was reading an article by Eric Fruits of the International Center for Law and Economics that drew my attention to this issue. “The Curious Case of the Missing Data Caps Investigation”, is a recent about the FCC’s lack of action on the use of “data caps.” The author notes that what the FCC calls “data caps” aren’t really caps at all. Professor Daniel Lyons, associate dean of academic affairs and a professor of law at Boston College Law School, notes:

the phrase “data caps” is a misnomer. A cap implies a hard limit on the amount of data a customer may consume each month. That’s not an accurate description of most UBP [usage based pricing] offers, which are perhaps better characterized as pay-as-you-go plans. Customers pay in advance for a certain amount of data, and if they exceed that amount, they can purchase an additional amount. In other words, customers on these plans have unlimited data—they just pay for what they consume, just as they do with most other goods in society.

Me? I have long prefered the term “usage tier” for that very reason. As I wrote in 2016, such tiers enable lower-priced options for consumers who don’t need (or don’t want to pay) for a higher priced unlimited plan. Usage tiers have proven to be very popular in mobile services.
The recent article demonstrates that neither consumers nor service providers want true data caps. “Not only are hard caps subjectively ‘bad’ for consumers, but they are also bad business, because they leave money on the table. There’s no need to ban hard caps, because the market has already banned them. Consumers don’t want hard caps and providers don’t want to impose them.”

Over the years, jargon and terminology have changed in regulatory proceedings. Non-facility based service providers have found the term “reseller” to be a pejorative term. Back in the olden days, the resale and sharing of telecommunications services was a hard fought regulatory battle (you’re welcome). Even for small pieces of telecom facilities that were combined with other components and billions of dollars of infrastructure, service providers recognized that resale was resale. Resale was governed by wholesale regulations and tariffs approved by the CRTC or negotiated with the underlying carrier. To this day, the terms “reseller” and “wholesale-based” appear in official regulatory filings in a somewhat passive aggressive manner.

There are many other examples of jargon and terminology used in a manner to elicit negative feelings. Are early termination fees (ETF) a form of “junk fee”? Some argue that an ETF is a quid pro quo: the consumer pays a lower monthly price in exchange for a contractural promise to keep purchasing over a specified time period. The ETF is the cost of breaking that contract. While such fees are normal in mortgages, in insurance, hotel bookings and countless other industries, in telecommunications we have effectively eliminated the ETF.

The elimination of early termination fees was an effort to lower the cost for consumers to switch service providers prior to the end of a contract. Has there been any research to test the effectiveness of this regulatory measure or its impact on prices?

What other telecom terminology and jargon do you find being used in a not so neutral manner?

Statscan says cellphone prices are plunging – and they are

The Globe and Mail ran a story today that confused cellphone prices with mobile bills.

Prices aren’t the same as bills. I first wrote about that precisely 9 years ago.

The print edition headline was “Statscan figures on falling phone bills clash with other data”. The online headline was “Statscan says cellphone bills are plunging – the truth is more complicated”.

The story lede reads, “As households struggle with the largest bout of inflation in four decades, Statistics Canada says consumers are getting some relief from what is often a source of frustration: cellphone bills.”

The problem? Statistics Canada doesn’t say “cellphone bills are plunging”. The story is about the mobile services component of the consumer price index (CPI), not your cellphone bill. There is an important distinction. Consumers’ total monthly bills are measured in a different Statistics Canada report, the Survey of Household Spending, which is conducted annually (at best).

But, aren’t bills the same as prices? No, they aren’t.

Let’s say you are looking at renting an apartment. A building has a 1000 square foot 1-bedroom unit on the fourth floor available for $1500 per month, and the building has a 2 bedroom penthouse unit on the 30th floor with 360 degree views of the city for $2500 per month. You choose the 1-bedroom. A year later, the landlord has started including bundling heat into the rent, and you learn that the penthouse is now available for $2000 per month. You decide to upgrade. Your monthly rent bill went up but prices clearly came down.

In the mobile world, there are lots of elements that make up the total bill. Do you have limited or unlimited calling? Nationwide or regional? US calling? Reduced international calling? How much full speed data is included? Do you have limits on text or multi-media messaging? What voice mail features do you have? Those kinds of factors are described in the Globe and Mail article as quality adjustments.

The apartment case is obviously a hypothetical, since rents in Canada have been going up. Indeed, one of the only components of the CPI that has been showing regular decreases has been the Communications Services component, especially the mobile services sub-component (as I wrote about last month here and here).

The Globe story quotes National Bank Financial analyst Adam Shine saying “All or nearly every Canadian could have found a better-priced plan in 2023”.

Personally, I have talked with my carrier twice in the past 12 months to discuss my own mobile plans. I cut my monthly plan price by 43%, and I now get more than 5 times the data and cross-border roaming. I helped a close friend lower her bills more modestly just before taking a week-long vacation to the US. She had 3 lines with 10-32GB of data; now they share 450GB and they have US and Mexico borderless service. Per line she is now paying 10% less. They migrated from a flanker onto the main brand. And, they are getting far more for less money, while incurring no roaming fees on their vacation this week.

“Statscan says cellphone prices are plunging – and they are.” There, I fixed the Globe’s headline

Businesses are in business

Businesses are in business and are supposed to make money. Milton Friedman’s 1970 article in the New York Times, said it succinctly in its title, “The Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its Profits”.

Businesses do not set out to be non-profits. One might even say that profit – making money – is the primary purpose for any business. In a Harvard Business Review article about the Friedman doctrine, Justin Fox wrote “You might disagree with Milton Friedman’s famous claim that the sole social responsibility of business is to increase its profits. But you can’t deny that it sounds simple and straightforward.”

In the opening segment of a podcast on The Hub, Rudyard Griffiths and Sean Speer discussed “the bizarre reaction from commentators and politicians” to Bell Canada’s recent financial results, “and what it signals about Canada’s policy-making mindset when it comes to big business.”

[Rudyard Griffiths] The key thing here that drove this steep cut by Bell to defend their free cash flow, to defend their dividend, to defend their share price, to defend their ability to access capital, to finance the infrastructure investments they need to make, all goes back to that CRTC decision to allow their competitors onto their fibre networks in Ontario and Quebec, but did not require Bell’s competitors in Western Canada to do the same. This decision effectively, like semi-nationalized these fibre networks on the part of Bell. And you can say ‘That’s great. It will lead to lower prices for fibre in Ontario and Quebec.” OK. It also led to 4,000 job losses and an increasingly difficult situation for Bell to create the free cash flow that it needs to operate as a high dividend yielding business, which is its value-proposition to investors, who give it capital in the first place to do all the things that the government wants it to do.

An open letter from Bell’s CEO described the challenges associated with the transformation of the company.

At Bell Canada every year we can expect to lose over $250 million in legacy phone revenues. At Bell Media, our advertising revenues declined by $140 million in 2023 compared to 2022. Across Bell Media’s news operations, we continue to incur over $40 million in annual operating losses despite having the most-watched network of local TV stations.

Financial illiteracy can be the only explanation for politicians of all stripes drawing a parallel between the $40M annual operating losses at the news operations and $40M in regulatory relief provided to Bell Media.

In the National Post, Terence Corcoran writes, “It’s a toss-up as to which of the two — Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau or British Columbia’s NDP Premier David Eby — deserves top billing as the economic and political ignoramus of the month.”

For some reason, the concept of profit seems to have escaped the leaders understanding of business. The opportunity to make a profit is how investors are attracted to a segment. That is how businesses grow, invest in infrastructure, hire people, pay taxes, contribute to the country’s overall economic well-being.

More than a dozen years ago, I asked why profit is dirty word. Canadians need to get over that hang up. We need to celebrate entrepreneurs and investors that want to make money.

Businesses are in business. In business to make money. That’s a good thing.

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