Search Results for: incentives

Should Aliant bid for spectrum?

AliantWill Bell Aliant bid on spectrum in the upcoming AWS auction? Should it be thinking about it?

When Bell Aliant was transformed, its wireless assets were traded to Bell Canada as part of the shuffle. As a result, Bell Aliant is an extremely large ILEC with no wireless spectrum of its own.

What happens if Aliant becomes independent of Bell in the wake of a shift in the ownership of the mother-ship? Would the private equity owners spin out Bell Aliant? Will Aliant’s executive team and its independent trustees consider spectrum options to safeguard minority unit holder interests?

Is Bell Aliant considered to be a “new entrant” under an auction regime that supports incentives for increased competition?

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Beating 100% in mobile wireless

Is it possible to be better than perfect? When a teacher offers bonus marks, is it possible for a student to end up with better than 100% at the end of the year?

A number of recent studies have pointed to mobile penetration rates of “better” than 100% in many countries in Europe and around the world. The presumption is that Canadian mobile penetration is inadequate. How come we aren’t seeing more questions on what drives these supernormal penetration rates and the resultant impact on end user costs?

Do we really believe that there isn’t a single person in Finland without a cell phone? Do we really believe that people are on the phone so much that they need a second mobile phone to avoid having callers go to voice mail when their call waiting is already… well, um… waiting?

Maybe something else is going on? Maybe there are strange distortions in rate structures that create artificial incentives to inventory SIM cards? Cheap on-net calling. Foreigners holding pay-as-you-go SIMs to avoid roaming rates?

Whatever the cause, the corollary of multiple phones per user is that the average user is paying bills for more than one phone.

I have to ask if all these comparative international cost studies are looking at end-user costs. Are the reports actually studying cost per cell phone, not cost per user?

And if the average user has 1.2 or 1.4 handsets, then isn’t the average user is paying 1.2 to 1.4 times the average cost per handset? So, in order to compare average mobile costs for users in various jurisdictions, should we actually be multiplying by the average number of phones per user first?

What would happen if the international rankings were adjusted to account for multiple bills?

Maybe 100% penetration isn’t really a worthwhile objective.

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Who pays for uneconomic entry?

EastlinkBragg Communications, better known as Eastlink, has been a leader in introducing competitive services in Atlantic Canada. They pushed hard in launching voice services over cable, not waiting for VoIP. In doing so, Eastlink quickly grabbed a third of the Halifax telephone market.

Bragg Communications has been competing hard against Bell Aliant and many would say they have been winning.

According to its recent submission to the AWS consultation,

EastLink believes that its presence as a competitor in these markets has not only increased choice for Maritime residents and businesses, but it has also played a significant role in increasing quality of services and products to consumers. EastLink was the first company to offer bundled services, which provides special pricing opportunities for consumers.

Eastlink has accomplished all this without any handouts or subsidies. That is why it was particularly surprising to see Eastlink call for special new entrant incentives, such as a spectrum set-aside. The language in the Eastlink submission is couched in places, saying “measures should be implemented to enable new entrants to access spectrum.”

No one, or at least no reasonable person, would dispute that request.

Industry Canada should definitely enable new entrants to access spectrum. Any arguments? Is anyone really suggesting that the spectrum – or even any portion of the spectrum – should be set aside solely for incumbents?

Apparently, Economics and Technology Inc., in its appendix to one of the submissions, think so. ETI says that the TELUS / Bell / Rogers group have been arguing that “the creation of one or more new carriers with national market footprints is both unnecessary and inefficient.”

I think that is an incorrect statement of the national incumbents’ position.

In any case, the real question is whether the Department should intervene in the marketplace to constrain economic forces from an open bidding process. There is a difference between allowing the creation of a new carrier and artificially and uneconomically stimulating such market entry.

According to Eastlink, we shouldn’t worry about the resultant possibility of uneconomic entry:

The benefit to be gained by providing new entrants with the opportunity to access spectrum far outweighs the risks of potential uneconomic entry. Furthermore, uneconomic entry will eventually be corrected through market forces.

At least Eastlink recognizes the “potential” for uneconomic entry. But what does it mean that the impact will eventually be corrected? Eventually? After how many millions, tens of millions or billions of real shareholder dollars are lost?

Let’s move out of economics class here and look at the real world of investors. The potential for the government to stimulate uneconomic entry means financial houses face special risks in providing funding to Canadian carriers. Individual shareholders of corporations are people like me, my neighbours, pensioners. Mutual funds and institutional investors will look to other countries for growth opportunities. Individuals are just bound to get burned. The memories of the tech bubble are still too fresh to be happy about “eventual” corrections to uneconomic entry.

That set-aside also means that the federal government raises less than full value from the spectrum auction. I’m not sure that I’m willing to fund some new entrant or speculator with my tax dollars.

Eastlink was right when it said that new entrants should be able to access spectrum. The rules should ensure the auction allows for an open, competitive bidding process. Full stop.

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Weaning Canadians from government intervention

On Friday, I wrote about the ability of comparitive statistics to be misleading. The National Post began a series of articles this past weekend, Swaddled in Nanny Nation. The first article speaks of the damage to Canadian consumers caused by government intervention in the marketplace, with comments aimed specifically at banking, air transport, telecommunications and agriculture.

One of the most flagrant ways Canadian industry is being coddled is through corporate subsidies.

The Saturday article points out billions in dollars in aid to Pratt & Whitney, Bombardier, GM and Ford.

Proponents of government subsidies argue that they create jobs, encourage research and development and spur economic growth. But often, the opposite happens.

Unintended consequences of artificial incentives.

This morning’s final installment of the Post series focusses on foreign investment restrictions in telecom: Not Upwardly Mobile. Writer Peter Nowak concludes:

The only way to solve a Canadian-created problem, therefore, is to bring foreigners in to fix it. Canadian politicians will first have to rid themselves of their cultural and economic xenophobia

A truly level playing field, with no handouts to try to pick winners, will work best for consumers and business alike. For sustainable competition, the lesson would appear to be that consumers will win if government will just get out of the way.

Canadians ahead in internet use

Sometimes, it seems no country really wants to be first in on-line connectivity.

There are a lot of organizations and programs that are dependent on the belief that government intervention is needed to improve the nation’s internet performance. Not just in Canada, but worldwide, countries are trying to find the right formula for regulation and policy incentives to ensure that their citizens aren’t left on the wrong side of the Digital Divide.

We worry about industrial competitiveness. Rural residents look for all the advantages of the city, without the traffic, high real estate prices and taxes.

Now we find out that Canada is number one in at least one area: monthly hours online. We beat out Israel and South Korea for top honours according to Comscore.

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