To drive investment in connectivity

A couple recent reports highlight policy considerations to drive investment in connectivity. The Canadian Telecommunications Association has a piece, “Canada’s Connectivity Future Depends on Sustaining Investment”, and CTIA released “Wireless & AI: Driving the Future of Innovation”.

For years, I have repeated the line “Canada’s future depends on connectivity.” There may be an increasing demand for investment in connectivity, but how does it get funded? What policies can create the right environment for such investments?

Over the past four decades, the wireless industry has evolved from voice to text to mobile broadband to 5G-enabled infrastructure. But the next decade will be defined an even more consequential evolution as it fuses (and infuses) wireless networks with artificial intelligence. CTIA’s report argues that AI and wireless are more than parallel innovation tracks; they are becoming a single, interdependent system, and policy must treat them as such.

Meanwhile, Canadian data shows that even as networks become more essential, the investment environment underpinning network investment is becoming more fragile.

Taken together, the reports demonstrate that North America’s digital future hinges on more than innovation. What policy frameworks will enable and encourage long-term capital investment?

CTIA warns that AI traffic will strain existing wireless networks before the decade ends, potentially creating a drag on the economy if spectrum and infrastructure gaps aren’t addressed.

The bottleneck emerges from AI’s migration out of the data centre and into devices, sensors, vehicles, and industrial systems. What began in research labs moved into hyperscale data centres. The next wave will be found in autonomous agents embedded in smartphones, robots, drones, and industrial equipment – systems relying on wireless networks for real-time sensing, coordination, and decision-making. CTIA projects AI-related wireless traffic to grow three times faster than overall wireless traffic, reaching nearly one-third of all broadband usage by 2034.

Not only is this more traffic, it’s structurally different traffic. For the past few decades, data networks were built for downstream consumption. AI flips that model. Devices will upload massive volumes of sensor data, telemetry, and video to the network, edge, or cloud. Machine-to-machine communication is expected to increase eightfold. Traffic may be bursty, event-driven, and unpredictable. Wireless networks will need to accommodate two-way, low-latency, high-reliability traffic, evolving from a consumer broadband platform into an intelligent, bidirectional, AI-native infrastructure.

The evolution of wireless networks – 6G – will be AI-native. 6G is more than a faster version of 5G. It will be built with intelligence embedded directly into the radio layer. Networks will dynamically allocate spectrum, anticipate congestion, authenticate devices autonomously, and coordinate edge-compute workloads at machine speed. Human operators cannot manage this complexity manually. A recent article in RCRTech looked at how TELUS is using its brownfield Open RAN transformation as a foundation for such a more intelligent network.

Every wireless generation has needed more spectrum, but the AI-era demands unprecedented amounts of wide, contiguous mid-band spectrum.

Beyond spectrum, an AI–wireless future requires towers, small cells, fiber backhaul, data centers, and edge compute — billions of dollars in new investment. Wireless carriers and AI companies are already among the largest investors in infrastructure, but government policy is failing to keep pace.

As the Canadian Telecommunications Association’s PwC report highlights, Canada’s wireless price index fell more than 45% between 2020 and 2026, even as prices for shelter, food, and transportation rose sharply. Canadians are enjoying the most affordable connectivity in the country’s history, while consuming more data and relying on digital services more than ever before.

Affordability has come with a cost. TD Cowen and RBC Capital Markets have both warned that Canada may have reached a point where regulatory pressure on prices is now disincentivizing investment. Public market investors are becoming less interested in Canadian telecom stocks, raising the cost of capital and increasing hurdle rates for infrastructure deployment. RBC goes further, arguing that telecom policy can no longer be viewed solely through a consumer pricing lens — not when connectivity has become one of the most important value propositions across all household spending categories.

Yesterday, National Bank issued a report entitled “Quis Custodiet Ipsos Custodes? Without Ottawa Resetting Regulatory Policy, Is Canada Investment A House of Cards.” Indeed, who will guard the guards themselves.

Regulation by ideology is inherently sub-optimal given a myopic perspective that is out of balance for all stakeholders and for the net good of Canada. Government policy toward telecom, which once offered a dual objective of promoting facilities-based investment and competition, has of late skewed disproportionately to the latter. Beyond Ottawa advocating for this swing of the pendulum, regulators have been over-zealous in their adversarial approach to pressuring carriers on pricing strategies, wholesale access, and administration fees. This has triggered a reaction by carriers which have accelerated headcount reduction, rethought capital allocation priorities, and reduced spending on their networks. This report isn’t about outlining Canada’s next steps. It’s about missed opportunities in broadcasting regulation, unnecessary actions by the Competition Bureau, and over-reach in telecom regulation. Without a course correction from Ottawa and its regulators, declining network investment precludes a strong foundation on which to build.

Canadian policymakers need to recalibrate the balance between quality, coverage and price: affordability gains are meaningful, but long-term consumer outcomes depend on sustained investment, not just lower prices. As National Bank writes, “Pressuring telecom pricing down further won’t turn Canada’s networks into diamonds. To the contrary, the foundational layer of Canada’s economy is naturally destined to suffer in the absence of more balanced regulation.”

The next decade of digital innovation — AI, automation, robotics, smart cities, smart farming, advanced manufacturing — will be constrained or accelerated by the health of wireless investment. Spectrum availability, regulatory certainty, infrastructure deployment, and capital investment are issues impacting national competitiveness.

Sustaining world-class connectivity requires sustaining an investment environment for the network infrastructure that makes it possible.

The policy decisions made in the next few years will determine whether investment in Canada’s telecommunications networks accelerates AI innovation — or becomes the bottleneck that holds it back.

What we can learn from broadband in the remote north

A study led by Professor Rob McMahon at the University of Alberta examines changes in life in small communities caused by the arrival of affordable broadband in the remote north. Until relatively recently, residents of fly‑in communities across northern Canada have lived with slow, unreliable, and expensive satellite connectivity, if they were connected at all. The arrival of fast, low‑latency, unlimited Starlink Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite service represented a structural shift in northern telecommunications — one that meaningfully narrows first‑level digital divides. But as the study shows, solving access problems does not automatically resolve deeper digital inequities. The study reveals that improved connectivity may introduce new tensions that policymakers have barely begun to address.

The research, conducted over two years with a Dene community dependent on satellite communications connectivity, documents dramatic improvements in connectivity. With the arrival of Starlink, device ownership increased significantly, Internet speeds and reliability improved, and restrictive data caps effectively disappeared. By 2024/2025, nearly three‑quarters of surveyed households subscribed to home Internet, compared to just 30% in the survey a year earlier. In measurable terms, the first‑level digital divide (access, affordability, reliability) was substantially reduced.

The research also reveals a divergence between anticipated and actual uses of improved connectivity. Before Starlink arrived, residents said they expected to use the improved Internet access for education, healthcare, and work. A year later, usage patterns shifted toward entertainment, social media, and political engagement. Online education and telehealth use actually declined. The study authors suggested concerns about losing access to in-person healthcare and education services may explain this finding.

Another piece of the study showed that residents’ economic expectations recalibrated. Interest in social media influencer entrepreneurship dropped sharply between the initial survey in 2023 and the follow-up in 2024/2025. More traditional online activities grew, such as banking, buying and selling goods, and promoting tourism. The authors describe this as “a divergence between how respondents anticipated to use newly available online applications (such as for education, healthcare and work) and how they actually use them following 1 year of improved Internet access.”

Most striking is the rise in concerns among users about online harms. Across nearly every category – cyberbullying, scams, misinformation, gambling, explicit content, youth mental health — concern increased significantly. Interview participants described Starlink dishes being brought to cultural gatherings and youth camps, raising fears that online activities may displace land‑based practices. Parents expressed anxiety about screen time, safety, and cultural erosion. The study’s findings echo global research on “adverse digital incorporation,” where improved access can expose marginalized communities to new forms of risk, exploitation, or dependency.

These insights arrive at a critical moment for Canadian telecom policy. The CRTC is actively considering consumer subsidies for northern Internet services, and governments continue to frame LEO deployment as a connectivity solution for rural and remote regions.

The study underscores that infrastructure alone is insufficient. For years, I have been writing about the need to invest in digital literacy. Without community‑led digital literacy programs, culturally relevant content, cyber‑safety training, and governance models that reflect local community priorities, improved access may not provide relief to familiar patterns of inequity. It is reminiscent of concepts I discussed in January in my post about “Digital wellbeing”.

How do we create more sophisticated content consumers?

The lesson for policymakers is clear: bridging the digital divide is no longer just about connecting households. It is about ensuring that connectivity strengthens — not undermines — community well‑being, cultural continuity, and digital sovereignty.

LEO systems like Starlink have solved the technical problem associated with affordable access. Now we need to begin work on tackling the social problems.

Sovereign AI Factories: The New National Infrastructure

Following up on a piece from 6 months ago, I thought it was timely to jot down some thoughts about sovereign AI factories.

In the digital age, compute is national power. As artificial intelligence shifts from software experiment to core utility, a new model is emerging: the sovereign AI factory. These domestically governed, GPU-rich facilities are vertically integrated platforms designed to train, produce, and deploy AI models at national scale—giving nations direct control over the economic, cultural, and security implications of AI.

Calling these facilities “factories” is deliberate. Unlike traditional passive data centres, they operate as active production lines for foundation models, autonomous agents, synthetic datasets, and safety frameworks—closer in strategic function to semiconductor fabs. Globally, governments are recognizing AI compute as a sovereign capability, aligning digital policy and alliances around domestic compute power and standards.

For Canada, the case is particularly strong for sovereign AI factories. While Canada possesses world-leading AI research talent, domestic compute capacity remains severely bottlenecked. This forces Canadian innovators and enterprises to rely on foreign hyperscalers, leaving pricing, availability, and regulatory oversight in foreign hands. Furthermore, sensitive datasets (such as healthcare, justice, and Indigenous knowledge, etc.) are often processed under external legal jurisdictions. A sovereign AI factory reverses this dependency, transforming Canada into a primary producer of intelligence rather than merely a consumer.

Beyond sovereign control, domestic compute accelerates productivity across manufacturing, resource management, and technology. It ensures critical data remains protected under Canadian legal safeguards while enabling secure, trusted deployments for the public sector. Crucially, it also protects cultural nuance: models trained predominantly on global English data risk erasing local context. Sovereign factories allow Canada to build systems tailored to French-language requirements, Indigenous language preservation, and distinct domestic values. Canadian identity by design, eh?

Canadian telecom operators are uniquely positioned to anchor this transition. Telecom carriers already manage the ultra-low-latency, highly secure digital backbone required to interconnect distributed compute nodes. As AI transforms network operations, spectrum management, and customer service, operators need trusted domestic environments to train and execute models safely.

Telecom policy has long promoted investment for Canadians to connect and communicate securely. It makes sense for telecom operators to extend that role to include sovereign compute capacity, as a logical next step to secure Canada’s national digital strategy.

Regulating devices

Is the CRTC now regulating devices beyond reason? Have we reached a peak ‘nanny state’ state approach to telecommunications despite vibrant competition in that sector?

About 3 years ago, I wrote “Regulators regulate”, saying that it was a corollary to Maslow’s Hammer: “If the only tool you have is a hammer, it is tempting to treat everything as if it were a nail.”

How else can we explain some of the recent regulatory over-reach as part of the Commission’s implementation of legislative changes to the Telecom Act?

In early July, I wrote about cancellation fees over-reach, but there is another case that I find equally troubling. From the outset, let me say that I don’t think the CRTC should be regulating the way mobile devices are sold. The CRTC regulates mobile phone sales by service providers, but not sales by the manufacturers or by independent retailers such as Amazon. Financing plans are regulated if the financing is by the service provider, but not if the financing is provided by a bank card, even though the service providers are often providing zero-per cent financing versus annual financing charges by credit cards of 18-20% or more. These imbalances on their own should raise questions.

Today’s post was stimulated by a series of letters dealing with the CRTC intervening on robbery and loss-prevention strategies for mobile service provider retail outlets.

In April of 2025, Bell wrote to the CRTC to inform the Commission that the company was experiencing an increase in crime at its stores associated with the theft of high-end mobile devices. Given that smartphone prices are now running in the thousands of dollars, Bell said that initially locking the devices and then automatically unlocking them after the first 60 days would serve as a disincentive for thieves. In November, Commission staff told Bell that the company had not made its case. “Bell has not demonstrated that the practice of locking cellphones for up to 60 days after purchase is a necessary and proportionate response in this case. Specifically, Bell has not demonstrated that this practice is effective.”

In May, TELUS filed an application for authorization of the 60-day device locking to be formally approved on a temporary and permanent basis. As it explained in its application:

Canadian mobile devices were essentially transformed into the digital equivalent of [bearer] instruments, because of the following defining traits:

  • Resale Liquidity: an unlocked iPhone 17 Pro Max or Samsung Galaxy S25 Ultra, retailing for amounts up to $3,000 CAD,23 functions on any GSM/LTE/5G network globally the moment it leaves the store.
  • Anonymity of Transfer: unlike vehicles or real estate, which require registration upon transfer, an unlocked phone requires no handshake to transfer ownership. It can be sold for cash or crypto, leaving no auditable trail.
  • High Value-to-Weight Ratio: a single backpack can hold devices worth tens of thousands of dollars, making them attractive targets for theft and trafficking across borders.

The prohibition on locking removed the only technical deterrent in the illicit device resale market.

By way of a letter, the CRTC asked the public to respond to respond for the temporary relief and suggested that the request for a permanent change be made as part of the CRTC’s public consultation on “Harmonizing the consumer protection codes”.

In its “Anticipated releases for the week of 3 to 7 August 2026”, the CRTC said it planned to issue a notice of consultation for a “Show cause and call for comments –Compliance with the prohibition on selling locked devices and other matters”. That was not released as planned.

In the meantime, Bell’s EVP and Chief Regulatory Officer had a post on LinkedIn that provided answers to some of the CRTC staff concerns from last November. Bell’s locking proposal was in response to a 500% increase in robberies and attempted robberies at its retail stores. In response, Bell “introduced a targeted safety practice: devices are automatically unlocked after 60 days and can be unlocked sooner upon request at no cost to customers.”

Since then, in-store robberies have been nearly eliminated, fraud targeting customer accounts has decreased by 80%, and thefts from warehouses and shipments have fallen by more than 35%. Most importantly, this practice is helping keep our employees, customers and communities safe.

As to the CRTC staff concern about proportionality, Bell says fewer than 1% of customers choose to switch providers within the first 60 days of acquiring a new device.

I don’t understand why the CRTC is regulating device pricing and financing at all. The CRTC doesn’t regulate hardware retailers, such as Costco, Best Buy or the Apple or Samsung stores selling the same devices. There is no regulation of credit card companies financing these same devices.

In its consultation for “Harmonizing the consumer protection codes”, the CRTC says 30% of consumers are “renting” their mobile devices with plans that allow customers to trade-in or return their device to the service provider at the end of their contract. The Consultation says “customers may not always be fully aware that they opted into a device rental plan, and that they may have to pay a balance to keep their device after their contract ends.”

Really? Isn’t this another case of regulating beyond reason? Can we treat consumers like adults? Do consumers who lease their cars not realize that they have a balance owing at the end of the lease?

I see ads for free high-end devices from US carriers, such as T-Mobile, Verizon, or AT&T, tied in to 2 or 3 year commitments on higher service plans.

I wax nostalgically. Canada used to have free phones available until the Wireless Code came around. I referred to the cost of regulation back in 2013. The increased cost of devices was seen as a short term cost in order to gain the longer term benefits of competition. An August 6 report from Scotiabank characterizes Canada’s mobile sector as a “competitive four player market”.

Right now, the way the CRTC is regulating devices has resulted in higher costs for consumers and carriers alike. Perhaps it is time for the CRTC to get out of the business of hardware regulation.

What AI can… and cannot do

The next webinar from the International Telecommunications Society features Harvard Professor Cass R. Sunstein, with a presentation entitled “Imperfect Oracle: What AI Can and Cannot Do”. It will take place September 22, at 9:30 am (Eastern).

The promotional email caught my eye:

Human judgment is extraordinary, but it is also flawed. People are biased: our judgments can go systematically wrong in predictable ways. People are also noisy: our judgments can vary depending on mood, timing, context, pressure, or the decision-maker involved. Bias and noise can produce serious mistakes in government, business, law, health, finance, regulation, and everyday life.

AI offers a powerful response to both problems. It can identify patterns, reduce inconsistency, improve prediction, and support better decisions. For institutions trying to avoid errors, allocate resources, assess risks, serve citizens, or make complex judgments at scale, AI may become an extraordinary tool.

But AI is not an oracle. The world remains full of surprises. AI can help us know more, but it also forces us to understand what we cannot know.

This webinar will explore the practical and policy implications of that insight.

Professor Sunstein is currently the Robert Walmsley University Professor at Harvard. He is the founder and director of the Program on Behavioural Economics and Public Policy at Harvard Law School. In 2018, he received the Holberg Prize from the government of Norway, sometimes described as the equivalent of the Nobel Prize for law and the humanities. In 2020, the World Health Organization appointed him as Chair of its technical advisory group on Behavioural Insights and Sciences for Health.

There is no charge for the webinar. Register now to reserve your place.

Scroll to Top