Gaslighting telecom prices and competition

Gaslighting: A manipulative psychological tactic that causes individuals to question their reality, memories, and perceptions, often leading to confusion and self-doubt.

There was a revealing moment in the House of Commons last week, one that perfectly captures the cognitive dissonance in Ottawa’s approach to telecommunications policy.

During Question Period, Liberal MP Alana Hirtle proudly cited the fact that “Canadians are paying lower prices for cellular services, with a 40% decline in prices over five years.” That was a rare acknowledgment from government benches that prices have indeed gone down, down dramatically, even as prices for most other goods and services have gone up an average of more than 20% during the same period.

But, rather than pause to consider what that says about the effectiveness of Canada’s competitive market (and the scale of private-sector investment driving it), the Minister of Industry chose to double down. Mélanie Joly responded that government would “do more… to increase competition” and “make sure that we reform our telecommunications sector.”

Alana Hirtle (Cumberland—Colchester, Lib.): Mr. Speaker, Budget 2025 is a generational investment in our economy, in our industries and in Canadians. Canadians are paying lower prices for cellular services, with a 40% decline in prices over five years, but these bills still eat into the pockets of Canadians. Budget 2025 has proposed measures to lower costs for Canadians and improve competition.

At a time when Canadians are concerned with rising costs and keeping their monthly bills affordable, can the Minister of Industry tell us how the government is working to lower cellphone bills?

Hon. Mélanie Joly (Minister of Industry and Minister responsible for Canada Economic Development for Quebec Regions, Lib.): Mr. Speaker, my colleague from Cumberland—Colchester and I, and this government, are laser-focused on making sure that we bring down costs in the telecom sector. We took the right decision this summer to uphold the decision of the CRTC to increase competition in the telecommunications sector. We also said we would be hawkish on competition.

We will do more in this budget to increase competition and make sure that we reform our telecommunications sector.

When a back bencher rises during Question Period, you can be certain the member is preparing to lob a soft ball, asking a planted question so the Minister can try to hit one out of the park by providing a prepared answer aimed at getting media coverage. Still, it was more than a little strange to hear (in the same breath), the government admitting that prices are down, competition is up, while insisting the system needs “reform.”

That wasn’t principled policy making. It’s gaslighting.

Let’s be clear: you don’t get falling prices, high levels of private sector capital investment, and world-class infrastructure, without competition.

Canada’s facilities-based carriers invest more than $12 billion annually, nearly 18% of sector revenues, building, upgrading, and expanding networks. That’s more than international peers in the U.S., Australia, the UK, and elsewhere. At the same time, the government’s own data show mobile prices have dropped by more than 40%, with popular plans being comparable or cheaper than those in the US, and home internet prices lower today than they were five years ago.

Those are the kinds of outcomes policymakers dream about: lower prices and massive investment. If that’s not evidence of effective competition, what is?

As I have written before, the government’s so-called “reforms” risk undoing exactly what’s been working.

By mandating that the three national ISPs be allowed to use the networks of their competitors, Ottawa has effectively tilted the playing field against the very companies that injected additional competition into the marketplace. Eastlink’s Lee Bragg put it bluntly: “Given the government’s disregard for the smaller regional operators who have brought healthy competition to the marketplace and the crucial importance of long-term investments in telecommunications, we are now forced to consider how this affects our ability to remain competitive.”

Will this mean that some smaller providers halt expansion plans or even pull out of some communities? Time will tell. But, this can not be the outcome that Canadians want.

Policies like this don’t strengthen competition, they stifle it. They reduce the incentive and capacity for all players to invest in infrastructure, slow the pace of innovation, and risk consolidating market share right back into the hands of the national incumbents.

We’ve seen this movie before. When policymakers chase the short-term political optics (like being “laser-focused on making sure that we bring down costs”) instead of evidence-based outcomes, investment falters, and consumers ultimately pay the price through slower upgrades, fewer options, and weaker regional challengers.

Canadians deserve straight talk, not gaslighting spin. Prices are down. Investment levels are well above our peers. Networks have been expanding. These are all signs that competition is already working.

Instead of continually rewriting the rules mid-game, Ottawa should be working to preserve, not punish, the investment incentives that delivered these successful outcomes in Canadian telecom.

Nothing breaks a working market faster than politicians trying to fix it.

The productivity paradox

The Productivity ParadoxThe Productivity Paradox and the Promise of Co-Intelligence is the theme of an upcoming webinar. On November 18 at 9:30 AM (Eastern), the International Telecommunications Society (ITS) and the Munk School of Global Affairs & Public Policy (University of Toronto) will host a free webinar: Co-Intelligence: Living and Working with AI with Ethan Mollick.

  • What if the most important technology of recent times doesn’t deliver productivity on its own?
  • What if your smartest colleague never slept, never stopped learning, and could work across every domain you know—and many you don’t?
  • What if AI isn’t just a tool, but a partner in your thinking?
  • A coach for your creativity?
  • A strategist for your work?

On the surface, the promise of AI seems obvious, like electricity, the internet, or computers. But, we can learn from history that general-purpose technologies yield gains only when paired with new skills, new institutional arrangements, and new ways of thinking and behaving.

That is the productivity paradox: adoption alone does not guarantee progress.

Professor Ethan Mollick reframes the challenge for us: while AI may not soon outcompete humans, people using AI are already outcompeting people. This is the essence of co-intelligence: treating AI less as a tool and more as a collaborator — an idea with profound implications for leadership, competitiveness, productivity, and progress.

Ethan Mollick is the Ralph J. Roberts Distinguished Faculty Scholar at Wharton. He was named one of TIME’s most influential people in AI. His book Co-Intelligence was a New York Times bestseller and a “best of the year” from The Economist and Financial Times, and his substack, One Useful Thing, is among the best resources to learn how to think with AI.

The deeper questions to be explored are human, not technical:

  • What new forms of oversight and trust are required when intelligence is shared?
  • How should leaders measure productivity when creativity itself is augmented?
  • And, how do we ensure this paradox becomes promise, not missed opportunity?

I have been a fan of the webinars hosted by the International Telecommunications Society over the past few years. It is a worthwhile use of your time, so I hope to see you online. Register here.

Reimagining a digital and AI-driven world

Reimagining a Digital and AI-Driven WorldOn December 3, the Ivey Business School at Western University is hosting “Reimagining a Digital and AI-Driven World”, the latest workshop in its Measuring the Digital Economy series.

Digital transformation and AI are rapidly reshaping how economies grow, how people work, and how public services are delivered. Yet our core measurement tools—especially GDP—fail to capture much of this change. They don’t reflect whether digital infrastructure is reaching communities, whether AI is boosting productivity or displacing workers, or whether public digital investments are delivering value.

This workshop confronts that gap directly. It brings together experts from national statistical agencies, regulators, academia, and industry to chart a path forward:

  • What new indicators do we need to track digital progress?
  • How should we design them?
  • How can better measurement improve accountability, policy, and outcomes in the digital age?

The agenda is heavily oriented toward measurement with the agenda [pdf] including sessions such as:

  • A New Measurement of Digital Divide
  • Measuring the Digital Economy: Insights from China’s Platform Economy and Livestreaming Commerce
  • Measurement Challenges in the Age of AI
  • Towards a New Proposal for Measuring Consumer Benefits in the Digital Economy
  • Measuring Broadband: Impact: Challenges and Opportunities
  • Where Are We Now? Digital Metrics Today
  • Where Should We Go? AI, Skills, Inclusion and the Digital Economy
  • Conclusions and Outlooks: Implications for Canada

Why does measurement matter? Analysis of various GDP metrics is essential for monitoring the health of the economy. However, it is also important to assess how digital infrastructure is improving public outcomes — or whether the country is meeting national digital goals. The workshop will explore why complementary indicators are needed to fill critical gaps in understanding performance in the evolving digital and AI-driven world.

Frequent readers know that I have supported this series in the past. Consider joining me on Wednesday, December 3rd at Ivey’s Donald K. Johnson Centre in downtown Toronto for this half-day workshop centered on the digital economy. I look forward to seeing you there.

Paying the bill for affordable broadband

Paying the billWho should be paying the bill when the price of broadband is just too high for a household budget to afford?

This is just one of a number of questions that come to mind when looking at a Part I application filed by Matawa First Nations Management (MFNM). In the CRTC filing, MFNM is described as a not-for-profit Tribal Council representing nine First Nations communities in northern Ontario with a combined population of over 10,000. MFNM launched its own telecommunications carrier, Rapid Lynx, which is in the process of deploying a telecom network that will connect all nine of the Matawa First Nations using FTTP technology.

In its CRTC application, MFNM states:

Rapid Lynx has received funding from the Government of Canada through the Universal Broadband Fund and the Government of Ontario through the Improving Connectivity for Ontario program, but this funding is only for capital expenditures related to the network deployment and cannot be used as any form of ongoing retail subsidy for the residents of the Matawa First Nations.

According to press releases, MFNM has received substantial levels of Federal and Provincial funding – more than $130M – for its fibre project:

  • $37.1M from Federal Connect to Innovate program (October 2017)
  • $2.14M from Indigenous and Northern Affairs (October 2017)
  • $30M from Ontario’s Broadband and Cellular Action Plan (October 2019)
  • $62.7M from Federal Universal Broadband Fund and Improving Connectivity for Ontario (July 2021)

This works out to $13,000 per person in capital subsidy, or more than $30,000 per household.

It is important to note that retail pricing commitments are conditions associated with receiving funding from the Federal Government for broadband. For example, the Universal Broadband Fund Application guide states “a condition of receiving funding is that successful applicants will be required to make available broadband service(s) at the price(s) specified in their proposal for a minimum of five (5) years from the project completion date.” A similar clause appeared in the Connect to Innovate Application guide [pdf, 4.8MB].

The idea behind the capital subsidy programs is to help with the business case for constructing broadband networks. Proponents identify the costs associated with the build, which are expected to be much higher (on a per-household basis) than urban broadband projects. The business case is supposed to show planned revenues at a prescribed monthly rate, and the government program provides sufficient funding to make the business case break even with a reasonable return on investment.

Through the summer, I asked if our capital funding subsidy programs were fundamentally flawed because the programs typically don’t account for higher ongoing operating costs associated with maintenance of a rural / remote network.

While the business plans submitted as part of the funding applications should be accounting for affordability, we know that price is an issue for many households, even in urban markets. This is why Canada’s major carriers have voluntarily provided targeted subsidy plans like TELUS Connecting for Good portfolio. These are entirely funded by the private sector.

In its CRTC application, MFNM notes that it experimented “using Starlink to offer retail Internet services and saw disconnections when monthly charges proved unaffordable for residents.” MFNM proposes expanding the CRTC’s across-the-board northern subsidy to an additional 75,000 households in First Nations communities, providing each with $36 per month at a total cost of roughly $32M per year.

For more than 15 years, I have been asking if geography should be used to determine needs for broadband subsidies. Rural and remote does not equate to low-income. As I pointed out in a post at the beginning of this year, median incomes in the three territories are substantially higher than median incomes in any of the ten provinces. Doesn’t that fact help illustrate why universal subsidies based on geography would be inappropriate and unnecessary?

If we are concerned with broadband affordability, shouldn’t a subsidy be needs-based, independent of where the person lives? While prices for telecom services may be higher in certain geographies, the price of anything, or indeed everything, may be higher.

Who should be paying the bill associated with subsidies? Why would we expect the CRTC to manage a monthly subsidy for broadband service? Should the affordability of each essential item be addressed by separate regulatory authorities? Should groceries for low income households be subsidized by Canada’s grocery stores? Alternatively, shouldn’t existing government social safety nets be responsible for helping those in need, whether it is for food, housing, broadband or other essential expenditures?

I have frequently complained about the CRTC’s off-the-books social subsidies, managing wealth redistribution on behalf of the government, without it being part of the Parliamentary budget process. At what point do we look to the government agencies responsible for managing our social safety net to be paying the bill for telecom affordability as well?

Improve performance at the CRTC

Does it take a court order to improve performance at the CRTC?

That is what a recent filing by Cogeco is charging following delays in getting a ruling on a complaint that says a Quebecor internet radio station (QUB) is broadcasting over the FM airways in contravention of CRTC ownership and control rules.

A summary of the case is found in a CRTC letter to the parties from this past January. Filing jointly with Bell, Cogeco sent its complaint to the CRTC in November 2024, seeking a determination to prohibit Quebecor Media and Leclerc Communication from broadcasting QUB Radio content on Leclerc’s radio station CJPX-FM Montréal.

In December 2024, the Commission published the application and sent a letter to Leclerc and Quebecor. With all of the clearing of confidentiality claims, submissions and responses, the file didn’t wrap up until March 7, 2025. In early August, Cogeco asked for the Commission to render its decision without further delay (“nous demandons au Conseil de rendre une décision, sans plus tarder”). Two weeks later, five months after the file closed, the CRTC informed Cogeco that it can expect a decision “in the coming weeks”. The space-time continuum seems to work a little differently in the public service, so here we are, two months later, and “the coming weeks” have not yet come.

You may recall that I had a post last summer entitled “Regulatory accountability” that included a link to a [pdf] 171-page report from the Forum for Research and Policy in Communications (FRPC). Included among the recommendations in “The CRTC’s performance, 1969 – 2025: Analysis and recommendations” were calls to “improve the timeliness of its decision-making by publishing decisions concerning broadcasting, telecom and online news applications within 4 months of receiving the applications.”

The CRTC’s own plans call for 75% of “decisions on telecom and broadcasting applications [to be] issued within four months of the close of record”. I found it interesting that the CRTC’s plan shows that it achieved that target 87.5% of the time in the 2023-24 budget year, but the Commission set a target for itself of only 75% in 2024-25.

Is this “sandbagging” the objective or setting their sights too low? When the CRTC achieved the 4-month objective 7 out of 8 times one year, why lower the target so significantly? Indeed, looking at what percentage of files don’t meet the standard, the Commission is saying that its target is to double the number of files that miss, rising from 12.5% to 25%.

Perhaps the Cogeco court filing reflects a reality, but shouldn’t we be able to expect a better service standard from the CRTC? It shouldn’t require a court order to improve performance at the regulator.

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