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Rural broadband isnā€™t easy

Providing broadband in rural and remote areas isnā€™t easy. If it was easy, we wouldnā€™t have needed billions of dollars of government incentives directed to improve access over the past decade.

It comes down to economics. On a per customer basis, it is costlier to connect rural homes and distances mean that it can take longer to install and service these connections.

No single technology can be relied upon to deliver broadband internet to everyone. The biggest challenge is in delivering service in markets with extremely low household density.

For wireline based services, there is the cost of running cable. With the greater distances between rural households, these long cable runs ā€“ with costs measured in dollars per foot ā€“ can lead to initial placement costs that simply cannot be recovered from monthly service fees. And that assumes the distances even permit a broadband connection. For many households in rural markets, a wireline connection simply isnā€™t practical.

When wires arenā€™t economic, fixed and mobile wireless can be effective if there are enough households within the reach of the base station. These solutions use spectrum; more customers and higher speed services need more spectrum. That is why reports about this weekā€™s results from the 2500 MHz spectrum auction have referred to rural consumers being the big winners.

But there are still some residences that cannot be served by conventional wireless technologies and the only viable solution available today is satellite. New fourth generation satellites are able to provideĀ broadband speeds that can deliver two-way video calling and streaming media. While there is a longer latency ā€“ it takes a quarter second for a signal to go up and down to a geo-stationary satellite ā€“ satellites enable broadband connections for households that are beyond the reach of terrestrial technologies.

Other countries have recognized the role of satellites in providing broadband access for rural markets. Despite massive levels of government subsidy, satellite and fixed-wireless are part of the solution for universal broadband in Australia and even the UK.

In February, I wrote about the common misinformation about Australia’s NBN as a universal fibre to the home initiative. Last year, I wrote about an interim report from Australia that showed that after spending more than $7B, only 260,000 premises had access to fibre with only 78,000 subscribers – a cost to taxpayers of nearly $100,000 each. In the UK, despite far greaterĀ population density compared to Canada, “Superfast Broadband” includes satellite for rural markets: “The Government will be working with local projects and suppliers to launch a scheme which will offer people with less than 2Mbps broadband services the option of taking up superfast capable satellite service”.

One technology simply doesnā€™t fit every application.

On June 3, Xplornet President and CEO Allison Lenehan will be talking about delivering advanced services to rural Canadians at The 2015 Canadian Telecom Summit.

Have you registered yet?

The cost of government stimulus

I noticed that Australia is continuing to press forward with its government-led NBN project, pumping about AU$36B of government funding into a project that hopes to have fibre to the home for 90% of the population.

The NBN plan is said “to promote sustainable retail-level competition, and fair pricing of wholesale services for all Australians.”

What is meant by fair pricing? $36B works out to about $5000 per household in upfront spending. That upfront government cash adds about $50 per month to every Australian households’ tax burden. Korea’s national broadband network is also the result of massive government involvement.

When looking at international broadband pricing,Ā shouldĀ comparisons include these hidden costs?

We’re 10 years ahead

The business plan for Australia’s National Broadband Network was released and it confirms that Canada is $41B and a decade ahead [pdf, 3.4MB].

OnceĀ the government invests $27.5B in equity and raising a further $13.4B in debt, in the year 2020, Australia will still have 3% of its population served by satellite-based broadband service with an additional 4% served by fixed wireless service. That is 7% of the population that won’t be reached by wired facilities after 10 years and more than $40B.

At last month’s Obligation To Serve hearings, we heard considerable discussion about how to reach the final 5% of Canadians who are beyond the reach of telco or cableco facilities.

John Maduri of Barrett Xplore criticized a proposal to create a new $7B fund for Canada:

7703Ā Ā Ā Instead, MTS would prefer you ask them to spent $7 billion on wires. The sad part of their proposal is that even with a $7 billion of wires, you will probably still need a satellite to fill in the inevitable gaps in coverage.

7704Ā Ā Ā I point to the Australian example again where with $40-plus billion to get to 90-plus percent and the balance even with that significant investment, [there is still] the need for satellite and wireless.

The NBN business plan confirms these statements. We have a vast country with many people choosing to live in sparsely populated areas. The private sector is continuing to invest in network upgrades to meet evolving demand.

In the new year, I would like to see the focus on the 20% of Canadians who don’t own a computer. As you have read on these pages [eg. here and here], I would like to see a connected computer in every household with school aged children.

I have thoughts for how this can be done in a competitively neutral manner.

Who wants to joinĀ the campaign?

It ain’t about plumbing

Too many people have focussed government attention on intervening in the supply of broadband facilities. Let’s face it, it is easier to look at a dozen or so suppliers to gather information and figure out who should receive a cheque to helpĀ direct their investment in broadband facilities.

On the other side of the equation, it is hard work to stimulate demand. But this is precisely where our efforts should be focussed, as was recommended by the Berkeley Research GroupĀ (the report I discussed on Friday).

A series of stories are coming out of Australia that reinforce the need to focus more attention on broadband demand, rather than supply.

Our friends down under are realizing that the $40B National Broadband Network needs to do more than just install infrastructure. An editorial is questioning the business case and another article indicates that many homes being offered free connections still aren’t signing up for service. In fact, a majority just don’t get it.

The preliminary indications are thatĀ the NBNĀ could beĀ a field of nightmares – what if you build it and nobody comes? The lesson is that infrastructure is a necessary, but insufficient prerequisite for a digital economy. At some point, we must turn our minds beyond the electrons.

According to CRTC figures, there are around 8 million Canadians who don’t have broadband. Consider thatĀ one inĀ five Canadian households does not yet a computer. How many of these householdsĀ are likely to suscribe to broadband?

As the CRTC begins its hearings in Timmins today, there will be someĀ groups calling for the CRTC to continue to intervene in the supply of broadband infrastructure.

Improving broadband adoption doesn’t need government intervention in the plumbing end of the business. Service providers are investing plenty of money to make sure the pipes are in place.

What we need is help in getting more people to drink from the broadband faucet.

View from the street

There was an opinion piece on network neutrality published yesterday on The Street.

The piece argued (and was entitled) ‘Net Neutrality is Akin to Socialism’. Long time followers of this blog will recall that I spoke along similar lines more than 4 years ago in a piece called “Soviet styled monopoly“.

There was an opinion piece in The Australian last week saying that its National Broadband Network (NBN) is welfare for tech-heads.

I just wonder if the common folks on the street understand the issue orĀ find any realistic likelihood inĀ the possibilities of the doomsday scenarios being painted by some.

Some will pipe in and say that a problem already arose – and they will bring up the TELUS blocking incident.

Indeed, that incident proves that no new laws are required – just like new laws won’t keep my neighbours from rolling through stop signs.

Are people gettingĀ engaged with the thought of government getting more actively involved in the internet?Ā Are we more willing to wait until a problem actually arises and deal with the issue at that time? Is it time for Canadian net neutrality advocates to find a new cause?

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