Real or phone(y) competition

We think that the Minister’s proposal to vary the CRTC’s local forbearance decision may unleash the incumbents sooner than expected.

By removing restrictions on winbacks and promotions, the reality of price competition could be upon us as soon as next month, even before satisfaction of the ‘presence-test’ or the wholesale QoS metrics permit full forbearance.

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Are we ready for full telecom price competition?

Yesterday’s announcement to overturn the CRTC’s local forbearance decision is expected to more speedily open full price competition for local phone services.

Included in the changes is a 120 day countdown timer for the CRTC to respond to applications for forbearance once the criteria are met. As Minister Bernier stated in his announcement:

About 60 percent of the Canadian population lives in regions that meet the competitive infrastructure test, including most major urban centres. For Canadians living in remote areas of the country where there is limited choice, our government will be there to ensure universal access to telecommunications services at a reasonable price.

As pre-condition, however, the major incumbents, Bell and TELUS, will still need to improve their performance on Quality of Service for facilities that are provided to their competitors. Reports are that the ILECs still have failing grades, even on the subset of metrics under the new rules; improvement on this requirement will result in better service for customers of all industry players.

In the meantime, restrictions on promotions are being lifted, as are the prohibitions associated with winbacks. Both of these should provide more immediate visible signs of competition for consumers. We’ll continue to look at the implications of the impact of the relaxation of these rules in the coming days.

It is becoming clear that Competition Bureau chief Sheridan Scott will be taking on an increasingly important role for the telecom sector. Her experience at both the CRTC and Bell make her well suited for the task. She will be speaking at The Canadian Telecom Summit in June.

Quebecor signals cellular ambitions

In the wake of Industry Minister Bernier’s announcement to overturn the CRTC’s local forbearance decision, Quebecor issued a statement that calls for further moves by the government to liberalize other communications sectors.

Pierre Karl Peladeau said:

we encourage the Government to follow its own logic by proceeding with the deregulation of the entire cable and broadcasting sectors as quickly as possible because, in our opinion, this could permit consumers to benefit from reduced cable bills.

The issue of regulatory symmetry for cable companies and telcos is familiar. At last June’s Canadian Telecom Summit, Robert Depatie spoke of the complex regulations that apply to the cable industry.

Quebecor Media also appears to be asking for the Government to put in place incentives for new entrants to offer mobile services. It says that it wants the phone companies to use their wide profit cellular margins to offer Canadians the latest technology and to lower prices for mobile wireless services.

Presently Canadians pay 60% more than Americans for mobile telephone service and do not have access to the same advanced technology available everywhere else in the world. This is unacceptable and can only be explained by the existence of a Canadian oligopoly that controls this business sector.

Once again, Videotron is proving that it is prepared to be a disruptive force in the converged telecom sector.

Robert Depatie, the president and CEO of Videotron, will be speaking at The Canadian Telecom Summit in June.

Increasing telecom competition

Following up on last week’s introduction of legislation to put oversight of abuse of dominant position in the hands of the Competition Bureau, the Minister of Industry has proposed to overturn the CRTC’s local forbearance decision, recognizing some of the missteps that were identified when the decision was first released in April.

Today’s announcement by the Minister is at least the 4th directive to the CRTC in the past 6 months. VoIP was dealt with twice, in the context of a reconsideration order and a ruling overturning the reconsideration. On its own, the CRTC almost immediately recognized the flaws in its Local Forbearance decision and began its own reconsideration of certain details, some of which are dealt with in the Minister’s announcement.

The Minister is introducing a simple presence test, rather than a market share loss threshold. In the case of business services, there needs to be at least one other facilities based wireline service provider. For residential service, there needs to be at least one more wireline provider, besides the ILEC, plus one other competitor, which could be a cellular service provider. All three must be independent of each other.

Interestingly, most people in Western Canada are able to choose between 4 facilities based players – TELUS, Shaw, Rogers wireless and Bell Mobility. In the east, Rogers cable and Rogers wireless only count once. In any case, the simple presence test will be met in most population centres in Canada.

The CRTC had been holding informal discussions in respect of its requirement for the ILECs to conform to 14 QoS metrics; today’s announcement reduces the requirement to adherence to only 9 of these, including some of the more difficult QoS metrics, such as due dates met for Competitor Digital Network services. TELUS and Bell had recently tried to negotiate relief from that specific indictor.

Consumers will immediately see more vigourous competition with a relaxation of the winback rules and further relaxation of rules for promotions. The proposed order explicitly permits the waiving of service charges for residential local winbacks, among other promotions. Previously, consumers that may have wanted to try out a cable company’s voice service may have been deterred by the risk of having to pay a telco service charge to come back.

More vigourous price competition and moves to include wireless into the local services mix make consumers the biggest winners. We’ll have more observations and comments tomorrow.

Cellular complaints rank 9th

This is a peak shopping season for all sorts of consumer goods. Cellular phones are no exception. As we have written before, there are lots of new handsets on the market this season which should help carriers lock in customers to multi-year contracts in advance of the wireless number portability implementation coming in March.

Are customers concerned about multi-year agreements? Cellular phones were one of the leading sources of consumer complaints in Ontario last year, according to the Ministry of Government Services.

 

Top 10 Consumer Complaints and Inquiries in 2005
Collection agencies 4,533
Home renovations 2,577
New & used vehicle purchases 1,880
Motor vehicle repairs 1,485
Home furnishings 1,267
Fitness & health clubs 1,067
Credit reporting 1,038
Personal items 1,007
Cell phones 842
Timeshares 688

 

Perhaps last week’s introduction of legislation to explicitly put forborne services under the Competition Act signals that we should be looking beyond the CRTC to discipline wireless services.

So, what is the best strategy for consumers choosing a cel phone plan and provider? I would say, look as carefully at the cancellation fees as you look at the monthly rates. A 3-year contract will get you the greatest discount off your new phone, but not all 3-year deals are the same.

Look at the penalties for early termination. If you lose or break your phone, you may be better off cancelling your plan, rather than paying full price for a replacement device. Each of the major carriers charges $20 per month remaining in the agreement but Rogers has a maximum $200 penalty to get out of your contract. Bell tops out at $400 while TELUS has $100 minimum and no upper limit.

The added benefit with Rogers, if you cancel early, is the ability to get your phone unlocked at many retailers. That will then make it easier for you to travel to the US or overseas and make use of a local pay-as-you-go SIM card. Unless, of course, you enjoy paying a zillion dollars per minute for roaming.

Or, you could just file a complaint. That would help cell phones move up the charts from number 9 on Ontario’s Top Ten Countdown. Will provinces intervene?

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